Publications

The Role of Growth Strategies in Acquisitions

2026

with Fred Bereskin, Micah Officer, and Jing Wang

Journal of Corporate Finance 100 (2026): 103036

Using labor skill demand disclosed in job postings as a proxy for firms' growth strategies, we find that similar growth strategies increase the likelihood of two firms merging. In particular, a firm is more likely to become a target as its labor skill demand becomes more similar to that of its potential acquirer. Similar growth strategies ameliorate post-merger integration challenges in facilitating merger deals. Following the merger, the combined firm continues hiring the same skills, consistent with the growth strategy persisting. These types of mergers experience more synergies and superior operating performance.

Skill Demand Similarity for Actual Deals and Pseudo Deals
Skill Demand Similarity and Human Capital Relatedness

Machine Learning Classification and Portfolio Construction: Does the Loss Function Matter?

with Kuntara Pukthuanthong

Financial Analysts Journal, Forthcoming

✦ Crowell Prize (Third Prize: $2,000) · PanAgora Asset Management · 2021

Classification outperforms regression across matched machine learning models in portfolio construction. A stacking ensemble of gradient boosted trees, random forest, and neural network yields a value-weighted annualized Sharpe ratio of 2.08 for classification and 1.39 for regression. This outperformance strengthens with class granularity and persists across subsamples and after transaction costs. Spanning tests show that classification retains economically large alphas after we control for regression, whereas regression alphas shrink substantially once we control for classification. These results indicate that classification extracts more return information than matched regression. Our diagnostics trace classification's advantage to more precise separation of return deciles.

Portfolio Holdings by Anomaly Category
Cumulative Log Returns

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Presentations

FMA (scheduled)

FMA Asia Pacific; FMA ×2; University of Massachusetts, Amherst†; Harvard Law School†; Northeastern University†; Modern Risk Society (MRS) International Risk Conference†; MFA; California State University, Fullerton

Boca Finance and Real Estate Conference; Chapman University†; Telfer Conference on Corporate Finance and Banking†

Boca Corporate Finance and Governance Conference ×2; Montclair State University; California State University, Fullerton; Conference on Empirical Legal Studies; FMA ×3; University of Missouri

Boca Corporate Finance and Governance Conference; University of Alabama†; University of Missouri ×2

SFA; World Finance Conference; Crowell Prize Competition; AFA; University of Miami Winter Conference on Machine Learning and Business

University of Missouri

† marks a presentation by a coauthor.

× denotes multiple presentations at the same conference.

Working Papers

Homeownership as a Life-Cycle Goldmine: Evidence from Macrohistory

2024

with Shize Li and Jialu Shen

Should households buy their homes? Contrary to popular personal-finance and academic expert advice, our block-bootstrap life-cycle simulation suggests they should. Using 150 years of data across 16 countries, we find that homeownership raises wealth and consumption-equivalent welfare relative to saving-rate-matched benchmark strategies investing solely in financial assets. The gains come from lower portfolio risk, rent-risk hedging, access to home equity late in life for enhanced retirement consumption, and higher bequests. The gains vary with income, house-price conditions at purchase, and mortgage rates. Mortgages enable early homeownership access at the cost of lower liquidity and consumption-equivalent welfare.

Optimal Life-Cycle Homeowner Strategy
Household Age Profile over the Life Cycle

Are Short Sellers the Vanguards of SEC Investigations?

2023

with Xiaohu Guo, Inder K. Khurana, and Ruixiang Wang

Using FOIA-obtained investigation records, we find that the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) relies on short sellers when opening nonpublic investigations. This dependence grows stronger when the SEC faces internal capacity constraints or when firms operate in opaque information environments. Using hand-collected public short selling reports, we find that the SEC selectively responds to short sellers' information about potential misconduct rather than mispricing-driven short selling. The SEC's reliance on short sellers also extends to comment letter issuance, demonstrating the broader influence of short sellers on regulatory actions, but it does not affect the enforcement outcome.

SEC Investigation Rate vs. Abnormal Short Interest

Does Board Gender Diversity Temper Enforcement?

2022

with Fred Bereskin, Xiaohu Guo, and Miriam Schwartz-Ziv

✦ Best Paper Award ($300) · Boca Corporate Finance and Governance Conference · 2022

We study formal SEC investigation initiation and document that female board representation is associated with lower investigation risk. A one-standard-deviation increase in Female Board Ratio reduces investigation probability by 0.23 percentage points, a 5.37 percent decline relative to the 4.3 percent sample investigation rate. Results are robust to an IV strategy using the 2017 Big Three campaigns. The effect concentrates in high-uncertainty periods, consistent with monitoring demand for female directors' oversight expertise. It extends to confirmed violations and formal enforcement, consistent with genuine conduct improvements. The association further strengthens when SEC leadership emphasizes gender diversity. Firms increase female representation following investigations.

Reduction in Likelihood of SEC Investigation by Percentage of Female Board Members
Increases in Board Gender Diversity After the Big Three Campaign
Appointments of New Female Directors Around SEC Investigation

Patrolling the Securities Laws: Toward the SEC's Investigation of Founder-CEO Firms

2022

with Inder K. Khurana and Ruixiang Wang

✦ Best Paper Award Semifinalist · FMA Annual Meeting · 2023

Using hand-collected data on founder CEOs and SEC investigations obtained through Freedom of Information Act requests, we find that firms led by founder-CEO are 29% more likely to face SEC investigations, though these investigations rarely lead to accounting and auditing enforcement release actions. CEO attributes—power, risk-taking, and visibility—drive this heightened attention, consistent with the SEC's broad strategy that seeks to hold individuals accountable. Investors of founder-led firms appear compensated for the increased investigation risk through superior stock performance. Overall, our findings on the regulatory consequences of founder CEOs provide direct evidence of SEC's strategic emphasis on individual accountability.

SEC Enforcement Process

Other Work

150 Years of Return Predictability Around the World: A Holistic View Across Assets

Campbell and Shiller (1988b, a) show that dt−pt≈const.+E[∑j=1∞ρj−1(rt+j−Δdt+j)]d_t - p_t \approx \text{const.} + \mathbb{E}\left[\sum_{j=1}^{\infty}\rho_{j-1}(r_{t+j}-\Delta d_{t+j})\right]. Therefore, if payout growth is not predictable, the payout-price ratio decides returns and the returns must be predictable. Using 150-year data from 16 developed countries across bond, equity, and housing markets, I study this implication using the payout-price ratios, i.e., coupon price, dividend price, and rent price. None of the 48 country-asset combinations shows consistent in-sample and out-of-sample performance with positive utility gain for the mean-variance investor. However, 14 (5) countries have predictable payout growth in the equity (housing) markets. Cochrane (2008, 2011, 2020) argues that the dividend predictability and the return predictability form a joint hypothesis, and the denial of time series predictability does not hold if we reject the hypothesis that the dividend growth is predictable. Contrary to Cochrane's finding, the VAR simulation using data from all the countries in the past 150 years does not reject the null that the dividend growth is predictable and thus the joint hypothesis test provides weak support to return predictability.

VAR Simulation of Dividend-Growth Predictability

Firm Social Network and SEC Enforcement

with Fred Bereskin and Adam Yore

We construct firm-level social network using partnership relations. Systematically important firms, i.e., firms that are highly connected and of greater centrality, face more SEC scrutiny across different enforcement actions, including AAER actions and SEC investigations. Our findings remain robust when applying stacked difference-in-differences (DiD) analyses that leverage exogenous firm-level reductions in network sizes within the corresponding Louvain communities, driven by mergers and acquisitions. They also hold under stacked DiD specifications using the introduction of combined tax reporting as an exogenous shock to the number of firm partnerships (Bodnaruk, 2013).